What is No setup?
The hourly board's 'no trade' state: confidence did not clear the threshold, so nothing is called.
Hourly signals publish a direction only when the model's probability clears a tuned threshold. Every other hour is published as no setup, and graded as no call.
The site shows the no-setup rate next to the hit rate, because a board that calls something every hour is either lying or overtrading.
How our model uses it
The threshold is chosen on held-out data to reach at least a 55% hit rate; if no threshold reaches it, the hourly model publishes no calls at all.
Related terms
Which way the model leans; neutral means it has no edge over a coin flip at that horizon.
- ConfidenceOur model
The probability of the call's direction, as a number the site publishes next to every forecast.
- Hit rateOur model
The share of graded calls that were correct, by horizon and by model version.