Every call, graded in public

Track record

When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.

All 1 hour 24 hours 7 days 30 days 90 days

Inside the 80% range91%of 336 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.

Direction correct—no graded calls yetCoin flip is 50%

Median error, base case1.7%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry

Price predictions graded336Last 90 days · since 27 Jul 2026

Calibration

When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.

Hover or tap a dot for its bin.

1 hour calls (default horizon) · 78 graded calls

By horizon

Range hit rate and direction accuracy.

1 hourn/a in range · 31% direction · 1,256 calls

24 hours91% in range · — direction · 336 calls

Best calls this month

U · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$1.00 → $1.00 CRCLX · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$85.68 → $85.67 WBT · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$78.97 → $78.99

Worst misses this month

IRYS · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.0205, actual $0.0765 JCT · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.00452, actual $0.00262 VEREM · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $17.20, actual $27.32

Every graded prediction

CSV

Coin	Horizon	Made	Base	Range	Actual	Error	Result	Model
BAN	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0568	$0.0545 – $0.0592	$0.0593	4.2%	Above range	1d-20261023-1104
COMP	24 hours	23 Oct	$24.44	$23.04 – $25.91	$24.06	1.6%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
CFX	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0515	$0.0484 – $0.0548	$0.0510	0.9%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
CVX	24 hours	23 Oct	$2.45	$2.29 – $2.61	$2.43	0.8%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
ATOM	24 hours	23 Oct	$1.72	$1.64 – $1.80	$1.71	0.4%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
COW	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.132	$0.127 – $0.138	$0.132	0.3%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
CTC	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0886	$0.0852 – $0.0920	$0.0911	2.8%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
ONE	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.00143	$0.00127 – $0.00161	$0.00139	2.6%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
CRO	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0562	$0.0544 – $0.0580	$0.0559	0.6%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
CRV	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.363	$0.343 – $0.385	$0.356	2.0%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104

Showing 71–80 of 336Load more

The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.

Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.