Every call, graded in public

Track record

When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.

All 1 hour 24 hours 7 days 30 days 90 days

Inside the 80% range92%of 332 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.

Direction correct—no graded calls yetCoin flip is 50%

Median error, base case1.6%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry

Price predictions graded332Last 90 days · since 27 Jul 2026

Calibration

When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.

No calibration bins yet — they fill in as calls are graded.

By horizon

Range hit rate and direction accuracy.

24 hours92% in range · — direction · 332 calls

Best calls this month

U · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$1.00 → $1.00 CRCLX · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$85.68 → $85.67 WBT · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$78.97 → $78.99

Worst misses this month

VEREM · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $17.20, actual $27.32 MAGMA · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.504, actual $0.387 AKE · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.0314, actual $0.0390

Every graded prediction

CSV

Coin	Horizon	Made	Base	Range	Actual	Error	Result	Model
ZRX	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.106	$0.102 – $0.111	$0.107	0.5%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
1INCH	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0912	$0.0886 – $0.0937	$0.0910	0.2%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
AAVE	24 hours	23 Oct	$146.67	$140.44 – $153.12	$144.37	1.6%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
ACU	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0982	$0.0935 – $0.103	$0.115	14.8%	Above range	1d-20261023-1104
ADI	24 hours	23 Oct	$8.05	$7.94 – $8.17	$8.05	0.0%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
ELF	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0855	$0.0609 – $0.120	$0.0883	3.2%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
AERO	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.787	$0.735 – $0.843	$0.733	7.4%	Below range	1d-20261023-1104
ATH	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.00591	$0.00557 – $0.00626	$0.00606	2.5%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
ARC	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0551	$0.0457 – $0.0663	$0.0599	8.1%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
AIOZ	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.101	$0.0939 – $0.108	$0.0984	2.5%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104

Showing 1–10 of 332Load more

The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.

Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.