Every call, graded in public

Track record

When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.

All 1 hour 24 hours 7 days 30 days 90 days

Inside the 80% range92%of 332 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.

Direction correct—no graded calls yetCoin flip is 50%

Median error, base case1.6%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry

Price predictions graded332Last 90 days · since 27 Jul 2026

Calibration

When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.

1 hour calls (default horizon) · 72 graded calls

By horizon

Range hit rate and direction accuracy.

1 hourn/a in range · 32% direction · 1,147 calls

24 hours92% in range · — direction · 332 calls

Best calls this month

U · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$1.00 → $1.00 CRCLX · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$85.68 → $85.67 WBT · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$78.97 → $78.99

Worst misses this month

VEREM · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $17.20, actual $27.32 MAGMA · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.504, actual $0.387 AKE · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.0314, actual $0.0390

Every graded prediction

CSV

Coin	Horizon	Made	Base	Range	Actual	Error	Result	Model
BNB	24 hours	23 Oct	$731.06	$717.54 – $744.74	$739.59	1.2%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
BIO	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0234	$0.0223 – $0.0246	$0.0234	0.3%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
BTC	24 hours	23 Oct	$81,391	$79,847 – $82,953	$81,189	0.2%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
BCH	24 hours	23 Oct	$274.89	$262.10 – $288.21	$282.50	2.7%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
BSV	24 hours	23 Oct	$17.59	$16.87 – $18.33	$17.39	1.1%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
BGB	24 hours	23 Oct	$1.89	$1.86 – $1.93	$1.90	0.6%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
TAO	24 hours	23 Oct	$257.30	$245.39 – $269.70	$255.20	0.8%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
BTT	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.000000375045	$0.000000365631 – $0.000000384633	$0.0000003733	0.5%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
STX	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.322	$0.302 – $0.343	$0.313	2.9%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
BONK	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.00000306	$0.00000291 – $0.00000321	$0.00000314	2.6%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104

Showing 41–50 of 332Load more

The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.

Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.