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Every call, graded in public

Track record

When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.

Inside the 80% range92%of 674 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.
Direction correct—no graded calls yetCoin flip is 50%
Median error, base case1.7%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry
Price predictions graded674Last 90 days · since 29 Jul 2026

Calibration

When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.

Hover or tap a dot for its bin.

1 hour calls (default horizon) · 90 graded calls

By horizon

Range hit rate and direction accuracy.

1 hourn/a in range · 34% direction · 90 calls
24 hours92% in range · — direction · 674 calls

Every graded prediction

CSV
CoinHorizonMadeBaseRangeActualErrorResultModel
SHX24 hours25 Oct$0.00512$0.00477 – $0.00550$0.005110.3%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
SUI24 hours25 Oct$0.938$0.893 – $0.985$0.9201.9%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
SUN24 hours25 Oct$0.0163$0.0162 – $0.0165$0.01630.1%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
SUPER24 hours25 Oct$0.183$0.173 – $0.193$0.1792.1%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
SUSHI24 hours25 Oct$0.205$0.197 – $0.214$0.2012.4%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
SYRUP24 hours25 Oct$0.178$0.170 – $0.186$0.1732.8%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
TAG24 hours25 Oct$0.000502$0.000468 – $0.000538$0.0004941.5%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
TRB24 hours25 Oct$17.80$16.98 – $18.64$17.332.7%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
LUNC24 hours25 Oct$0.0000452$0.0000440 – $0.0000464$0.00004451.7%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
TSLAX24 hours25 Oct$372.04$364.46 – $379.70$371.340.2%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
Showing 281–290 of 674Load more

The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.

Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.