Every call, graded in public

Track record

When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.

All 1 hour 24 hours 7 days 30 days 90 days

Inside the 80% range92%of 674 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.

Direction correct—no graded calls yetCoin flip is 50%

Median error, base case1.7%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry

Price predictions graded674Last 90 days · since 29 Jul 2026

Calibration

When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.

Hover or tap a dot for its bin.

1 hour calls (default horizon) · 88 graded calls

By horizon

Range hit rate and direction accuracy.

1 hourn/a in range · 45% direction · 2,686 calls

24 hours92% in range · — direction · 674 calls

Best calls this month

U · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$1.00 → $1.00 STX · 24 hours, made 25 Oct$0.305 → $0.305 USAT · 24 hours, made 25 Oct$1.00 → $1.00

Worst misses this month

IRYS · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.0205, actual $0.0765 JCT · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.00452, actual $0.00262 ELF · 24 hours, made 25 Octbase $0.0881, actual $0.0522

Every graded prediction

CSV

Coin	Horizon	Made	Base	Range	Actual	Error	Result	Model
PROM	24 hours	25 Oct	$5.39	$4.97 – $5.84	$5.47	1.5%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261025-1302
XPR	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.00186	$0.00180 – $0.00192	$0.00185	0.6%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261025-1302
PENGU	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.00764	$0.00730 – $0.00799	$0.00749	1.9%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261025-1302
PUMP	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.00431	$0.00398 – $0.00466	$0.00424	1.7%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261025-1302
PURR	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.0952	$0.0874 – $0.104	$0.0965	1.3%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261025-1302
PYTH	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.0713	$0.0670 – $0.0759	$0.0751	5.0%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261025-1302
QTUM	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.844	$0.815 – $0.872	$0.821	2.7%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261025-1302
Q	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.0773	$0.0611 – $0.0976	$0.0573	34.9%	Below range	1d-20261025-1302
QNT	24 hours	25 Oct	$178.93	$159.83 – $200.12	$190.21	5.9%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261025-1302
QRL	24 hours	25 Oct	$1.22	$1.13 – $1.31	$1.28	4.9%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261025-1302

Showing 231–240 of 674Load more

The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.

Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.