Every call, graded in public
Track record
When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.
Inside the 80% range92%of 332 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.
Direction correct—no graded calls yetCoin flip is 50%
Median error, base case1.6%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry
Price predictions graded332Last 90 days · since 27 Jul 2026
Calibration
When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.
1 hour calls (default horizon) · 56 graded calls
By horizon
Range hit rate and direction accuracy.
1 hourn/a in range · 30% direction · 999 calls
24 hours92% in range · — direction · 332 calls
Every graded prediction
| Coin | Horizon | Base | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKT | 24 hours | $0.676 | $0.697 | In range · direction ✗ |
| AKE | 24 hours | $0.0314 | $0.0390 | Above range |
| ALEO | 24 hours | $0.0394 | $0.0352 | In range · direction ✓ |
| ALGO | 24 hours | $0.107 | $0.106 | In range · direction ✓ |
| ALLO | 24 hours | $0.197 | $0.193 | In range · direction ✓ |
| ALT | 24 hours | $0.00820 | $0.00736 | In range · direction ✓ |
| AMP | 24 hours | $0.000783 | $0.000787 | In range · direction ✗ |
| ANVL | 24 hours | $0.00167 | $0.00168 | In range · direction ✗ |
| APEPE | 24 hours | $0.00000118 | $0.00000118 | In range · direction ✗ |
| APE | 24 hours | $0.136 | $0.132 | In range · direction ✓ |
Showing 11–20 of 332Load more
The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.
Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.