Every call, graded in public

Track record

When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.

All 1 hour 24 hours 7 days 30 days 90 days

Inside the 80% range90%of 1,442 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.

Direction correct53%of 1,442 calls base-case callsCoin flip is 50%

Median error, base case1.5%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry

Calls graded1,442Last 90 days · since 31 Jul 2026 · every horizonIncludes hourly signals; the cards above count priced calls only.

How to read these numbers

One call can be counted more than once, so the denominators differ on purpose. Calls graded is every expired call, hourly signals included. Inside the 80% range counts only the priced horizons, because a one-hour signal publishes no range. Direction correct counts the calls whose base case was graded against the real price — including the ones labelled neutral, which have no bullish or bearish lean but still either finished above or below where they started.

Calibration

When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.

No calibration bins yet — they fill in as calls are graded.

By horizon

Range hit rate and direction accuracy.

24 hours90% in range · 53% direction · 1,442 calls

Best calls this month

ALFW · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$3.20 → $3.20 BRSRV · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$1.00 → $1.00 PC0016245 · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$1.00 → $1.00

Worst misses this month

Q · 24 hours, made 27 Octbase $0.198, actual $0.0531 IRYS · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.0205, actual $0.0765 JCT · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.00452, actual $0.00262

Every graded prediction

CSV

Coin	Horizon	Made	Base	Range	Actual	Error	Result	Model
EDU	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.0612	$0.0581 – $0.0645	$0.0590	3.8%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261025-1302
GAS	24 hours	25 Oct	$1.19	$1.15 – $1.23	$1.20	1.2%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261025-1302
ZRX	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.103	$0.0986 – $0.107	$0.101	1.7%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261025-1302
BABYDOGE	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.000000000356	$0.000000000347 – $0.000000000366	$0.000000000345	3.1%	Below range	1d-20261025-1302
BEAM	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.00322	$0.00302 – $0.00342	$0.00298	7.9%	Below range	1d-20261025-1302
BSV	24 hours	25 Oct	$17.21	$16.55 – $17.90	$17.27	0.3%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261025-1302
CASHCAT	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.0949	$0.0859 – $0.105	$0.0945	0.5%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261025-1302
CHIP	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.0456	$0.0417 – $0.0499	$0.0440	3.8%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261025-1302
BAN	24 hours	25 Oct	$0.0601	$0.0577 – $0.0626	$0.0572	5.1%	Below range	1d-20261025-1302
COMP	24 hours	25 Oct	$23.82	$22.53 – $25.17	$21.06	13.1%	Below range	1d-20261025-1302

Showing 931–940 of 1,442Load more

The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.

Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.