Every call, graded in public

Track record

When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.

All 1 hour 24 hours 7 days 30 days 90 days

Inside the 80% range91%of 1,104 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.

Direction correct—no graded calls yetCoin flip is 50%

Median error, base case1.5%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry

Price predictions graded1,104Last 90 days · since 30 Jul 2026

Calibration

When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.

No calibration bins yet — they fill in as calls are graded.

By horizon

Range hit rate and direction accuracy.

24 hours91% in range · — direction · 1,104 calls

Best calls this month

BRSRV · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$1.00 → $1.00 ALFW · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$3.20 → $3.20 PC0016245 · 24 hours, made 23 Oct$1.00 → $1.00

Worst misses this month

IRYS · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.0205, actual $0.0765 JCT · 24 hours, made 23 Octbase $0.00452, actual $0.00262 Q · 24 hours, made 26 Octbase $0.0571, actual $0.200

Every graded prediction

CSV

Coin	Horizon	Made	Base	Range	Actual	Error	Result	Model
SPCXB	24 hours	23 Oct	$146.48	$141.13 – $151.99	$147.80	0.9%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
ID	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0312	$0.0300 – $0.0324	$0.0317	1.6%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
CX	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0305	$0.0261 – $0.0356	$0.0274	11.5%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
SPYX	24 hours	23 Oct	$764.81	$759.94 – $769.68	$762.12	0.4%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
SOSO	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.299	$0.282 – $0.317	$0.298	0.4%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
SOON	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.298	$0.275 – $0.323	$0.302	1.2%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
S	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0511	$0.0468 – $0.0558	$0.0510	0.2%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
BRLV	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.198	$0.194 – $0.201	$0.200	1.1%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261025-1302
SOL	24 hours	23 Oct	$103.60	$100.73 – $106.53	$102.85	0.7%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
SNEK	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.000697	$0.000648 – $0.000750	$0.000697	0.0%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104

Showing 771–780 of 1,104Load more

The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.

Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.