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Every call, graded in public

Track record

When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.

Inside the 80% range92%of 674 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.
Direction correct—no graded calls yetCoin flip is 50%
Median error, base case1.7%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry
Price predictions graded674Last 90 days · since 29 Jul 2026

Calibration

When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.

No calibration bins yet — they fill in as calls are graded.

By horizon

Range hit rate and direction accuracy.

24 hours92% in range · — direction · 674 calls

Every graded prediction

CSV
CoinHorizonMadeBaseRangeActualErrorResultModel
NPC24 hours23 Oct$0.0180$0.0169 – $0.0190$0.01800.3%In range · direction ✗1d-20261023-1104
NMR24 hours23 Oct$10.68$9.86 – $11.55$10.462.1%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
NVDAX24 hours23 Oct$212.68$208.38 – $217.04$211.760.4%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
O24 hours23 Oct$0.407$0.390 – $0.425$0.4192.9%In range · direction ✗1d-20261023-1104
ROSE24 hours23 Oct$0.00722$0.00686 – $0.00761$0.007111.6%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
TRUMP24 hours23 Oct$1.73$1.66 – $1.82$1.711.7%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
OKB24 hours23 Oct$110.69$107.48 – $113.97$110.380.3%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
ONDO24 hours23 Oct$0.428$0.404 – $0.453$0.4192.2%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
ONT24 hours23 Oct$0.0524$0.0504 – $0.0544$0.05181.1%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
OP24 hours23 Oct$0.118$0.109 – $0.127$0.1152.0%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
Showing 531–540 of 674Load more

The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.

Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.