Every call, graded in public

Track record

When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.

All 1 hour 24 hours 7 days 30 days 90 days

Inside the 80% range82%of 4,313 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.

Direction correct53%of 4,313 calls base-case callsCoin flip is 50%

Median error, base case1.8%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry

Calls graded6,806Last 90 days · since 9 Aug 2026 · every horizonIncludes hourly signals; the cards above count priced calls only.

How to read these numbers

One call can be counted more than once, so the denominators differ on purpose. Calls graded is every expired call, hourly signals included. Inside the 80% range counts only the priced horizons, because a one-hour signal publishes no range. Direction correct counts the calls whose base case was graded against the real price — including the ones labelled neutral, which have no bullish or bearish lean but still either finished above or below where they started.

Calibration

When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.

No calibration bins yet — they fill in as calls are graded.

By horizon

Range hit rate and direction accuracy.

24 hours82% in range · 53% direction · 4,313 calls

Best calls this month

BRSRV · 24 hours, made 1 Nov$1.00 → $1.00 ALFW · 24 hours, made 1 Nov$3.20 → $3.20 PC0016245 · 24 hours, made 1 Nov$1.00 → $1.00

Worst misses this month

ELF · 24 hours, made 3 Novbase $0.0403, actual $0.0708 UMXM · 24 hours, made 3 Novbase $0.0143, actual $0.0107 IDOL · 24 hours, made 1 Novbase $0.0175, actual $0.0250

Every graded prediction

CSV

Coin	Horizon	Made	Base	Range	Actual	Error	Result	Model
ARKM	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.129	$0.123 – $0.136	$0.133	2.4%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
OZA	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0525	$0.0501 – $0.0550	$0.0521	0.8%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261025-1302
ZK	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0131	$0.0121 – $0.0142	$0.0126	3.7%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
ZIG	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0476	$0.0457 – $0.0496	$0.0448	6.3%	Below range	1d-20261023-1104
ZETA	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.0406	$0.0385 – $0.0427	$0.0413	1.8%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
0G	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.224	$0.211 – $0.237	$0.229	2.1%	In range · direction ✗	1d-20261023-1104
ZEN	24 hours	23 Oct	$6.14	$5.86 – $6.43	$5.91	3.8%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
ZBCN	24 hours	23 Oct	$0.00220	$0.00209 – $0.00231	$0.00218	0.9%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
ZEC	24 hours	23 Oct	$1,218	$1,139 – $1,302	$1,183	2.9%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104
ZANO	24 hours	23 Oct	$4.02	$3.73 – $4.33	$4.01	0.2%	In range · direction ✓	1d-20261023-1104

Showing 4031–4040 of 4,313Load more

The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.

Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.