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Every call, graded in public

Track record

When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.

Inside the 80% range93%of 672 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.
Direction correct—no graded calls yetCoin flip is 50%
Median error, base case1.7%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry
Price predictions graded672Last 90 days · since 28 Jul 2026

Calibration

When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.

No calibration bins yet — they fill in as calls are graded.

By horizon

Range hit rate and direction accuracy.

24 hours93% in range · — direction · 672 calls

Every graded prediction

CSV
CoinHorizonMadeBaseRangeActualErrorResultModel
NFT24 hours25 Oct$0.000000236361$0.000000233978 – $0.000000238747$0.00000023650.1%In range · direction ✗1d-20261025-1302
ARB24 hours25 Oct$0.169$0.159 – $0.181$0.1690.3%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
LINK24 hours25 Oct$11.62$11.21 – $12.03$11.461.4%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
ARC24 hours25 Oct$0.0619$0.0518 – $0.0738$0.05875.4%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
APEPE24 hours25 Oct$0.00000119$0.00000114 – $0.00000124$0.000001180.8%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
BIO24 hours25 Oct$0.0230$0.0220 – $0.0241$0.02233.2%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
GT24 hours25 Oct$9.87$9.62 – $10.11$9.780.9%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
RLC24 hours25 Oct$0.560$0.490 – $0.640$0.5403.8%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
INJ24 hours25 Oct$7.71$7.24 – $8.21$7.872.1%In range · direction ✗1d-20261025-1302
VET24 hours25 Oct$0.00689$0.00656 – $0.00722$0.006781.6%In range · direction ✓1d-20261025-1302
Showing 301–310 of 672Load more

The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.

Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.