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Every call, graded in public

Track record

When a prediction expires we compare it with the real price. Nothing is deleted or edited. Wins and misses both stay here, split by horizon and by the model version that made them.

Inside the 80% range91%of 336 callsTarget 80%. Close means honest ranges.
Direction correct—no graded calls yetCoin flip is 50%
Median error, base case1.7%24 hours horizonBase case vs the price at expiry
Price predictions graded336Last 90 days · since 28 Jul 2026

Calibration

When we say 70%, are we right 70% of the time? Dots on the line mean yes.

No calibration bins yet — they fill in as calls are graded.

By horizon

Range hit rate and direction accuracy.

24 hours91% in range · — direction · 336 calls

Every graded prediction

CSV
CoinHorizonMadeBaseRangeActualErrorResultModel
FLR24 hours23 Oct$0.00624$0.00609 – $0.00640$0.006122.0%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
FLOKI24 hours23 Oct$0.0000233$0.0000223 – $0.0000243$0.00002371.9%In range · direction ✗1d-20261023-1104
FLOW24 hours23 Oct$0.0286$0.0273 – $0.0300$0.02792.4%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
FORM24 hours23 Oct$0.231$0.218 – $0.245$0.2271.8%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
GALA24 hours23 Oct$0.00186$0.00176 – $0.00196$0.001831.6%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
GAS24 hours23 Oct$1.23$1.19 – $1.27$1.240.9%In range · direction ✗1d-20261023-1104
GT24 hours23 Oct$10.00$9.74 – $10.26$10.020.2%In range · direction ✗1d-20261023-1104
GENIUS24 hours23 Oct$0.300$0.289 – $0.311$0.3000.1%In range · direction ✗1d-20261023-1104
GEOD24 hours23 Oct$0.260$0.246 – $0.274$0.2590.4%In range · direction ✓1d-20261023-1104
ZRX24 hours23 Oct$0.106$0.102 – $0.111$0.1070.5%In range · direction ✗1d-20261023-1104
Showing 111–120 of 336Load more

The detailed log covers the last 90 days, which is what the database retains; older calls live on in the daily totals above. Grades are final and never edited.

Read how the model works, or download the graded calls as CSV.